SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : SLIDE : Tessmer et al - 2003 SAE Govt/Industry meeting Daytime Running Lamps (DRLs) SLIDE 1: AN ASSESSMENT OF THE CRASH REDUCTION EFFECTS OF PASSENGER VEHICLE DAYTIME RUNNING LAMPS (DRLs) - Anders Longthorne - Ana Maria Eigen - Joseph Tessmer SLIDE 2: 1st NHTSA STUDY ON DRIs - published June 2000 - restricted to passenger cars - used make model, and model year data to identify vehicle with and without DRLs - two different comparison groups - older similar model cars & Ford vehicles - simple odds and odds ratio SLIDE 3: WHAT ARE DRLs? DRL CONFIGURATIONS - upper beam headlamps at reduced power - lowe-beam headlamps at full or reduced power - turn signals - dedicated lamp - (some GM light trucks) SLIDE 4: PURPOSE OF DAYTIME RUNNING LAMPS Increase the visual contrast of DRL equipped vehicles during daylight, thereby: - reducing multiple vehicle opposite direction/angle crashes - reducing single vehicle crashes with non-motorists SLIDES 5-6: SUMMARY OF FINDINGS [tables] SLIDE 7: PROBLEMS WITH USA DRL ANALYSIS - Law permits the use of DRLs but does not require * some vehicles are equipped with DRLs * other vehicles do not have DRLs - DRLs are being phased in over time - But problems can be advantages as well SLIDE 8: DATA SETS USED - Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) 1995 to 2001 - National Automotive Sampling System (NASS) General Estimates System (GES) * 1995 to 2001 * property damage and injury crashes only * no crashes involving a fatality SLIDE 9: PASSENGER VEHICLE TYPES - passenger cars - pickups/light trucks - sport utility vehicles (SUVs) - vans SLIDE 10: VEHICLE DRL STATUS - vehicles equipped with DRLs - vehicles without DRLs * as determined by analysis of the VIN * vehicles with DRLs as an option were eliminated from the analysis SLIDE 11: CRASHES - TARGET CRASHES [DRLs should have an effect] Two vhicle * head on * angle * sideswipe opposite direction - COMPARISON CRASHES [DRLs have no effect] Single vehicle crashes SLIDE 12: PERSONS - TARGET PERSONS [DRLs should have an effect] * non-motorists involved in single vehicle fatal crashes (pedestrians and cyclists) - COMPARISON PERSONS [DRLs have no effect] * occupants of single vehicle fatal crashes SLIDE 13: TIME OF DAY - DAYTIME: DRLs should be effective _ NIGHT: DRLs should not have any effect SLIDE 14: WHAT IS IGNORED? - effect on motorcycles/snowmobiles - drivers do not turn on head lamps at night - a 2-vehicle crash maybe avoided, which becomes a single-vehicle crash - possible increases in comparison crashes - climate/seasonal differences - interactions - burned out bulbs/very bright bulbs SLIDE 15: EFFECTIVENESS IS THE MEASURE OF CRASH REDUCTION DUE TO A PROGRAM - effectiveness - the percent change in the number crashes that can be affected by the program, compared to - the percent change in the number of crashes that are not affected by the program. SLIDE 16: GENERAL EFFECTIVENESS SLIDE 17: GENERAL EFFECTIVENESS (degenerate case) - let Omega = TD/(CD = TN = CN) - the simple odds - where: TD = number of vehicles/persons in Targeted crashes during Daylight CD = number of vehicles/persons in Comparison crashes during Daylight TN = number of vehicles/persons in Targeted crashes at Night CN = number of vehicles/persons in Comparison crashes at Night SLIDE 18: GENERAL EFECTIVENESS [formula] SLIDE 19: ADVANTAGES OF GENERAL EFFECTIVENESS APPROACH - calculates the statistical significance, p. - works for censuses and surveys. - can adjust for a variety of factors - equivalent to the simple odds - generalizations also exit for the odds ratio SLIDE 20: WHY USE THE SIMPLE ODDS? the simple odds, omega, is more stable, smaller standard error than the odds ratio SLIDE 21: HOW EFFECTIVE ARE DRLs? PRELIMINARY RESULTS * two vehicle opposite direction/angle fatal daytime crashes 5% (p=0.0680) * two vehicle opposite direction/angle non-fata daytime crashes 5% (p=0.0751) * single vehicle fatal non-motorist daytime crashes 12% (p=0.0023) SLIDE 22: JUNE 2000 RESULTS - two vehicle opposite direction/angle fatal daytime crashes 5% to -28% (nothing significant) - two vehicle non-fatal daytime crashes [from the State Data System] 22% to -16% - Single vehicle fatal nnon-motorist daytime crashes 24% to 35% (nothing significant) SLIDE 23: THE EFFECTIVENESS ESTIMATES DEPENDENT ON VEHICLE TYPE Passenger cars, SUVs, Vans, and pickups When adjusting for vehicle type the effectiveness estimates are: - two vehicle fatal daytime OD/A* crashes 5% (p=0.0799) - two vehicle non-fatal daytime OD/A* crashes 5% (p=0.1333) - single vehicle fatal non-motorist daytime crashes 13% (p=0.0016) * OD/A opposite direction/angle SLIDE 24: PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONS - daytime running lamps (DRLs) seem to reduce target crashes by 5-12%. - the 5% reductions are not statistically significant, but 12% reduction is. - the effectiveness of DRLs is not dependent on the type of passenger vehicle